# Visual Causality Analysis of Event Sequence Data

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2009.00219 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.00219/

## Key facts

- Cited by 12 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 1 Sep 2020.

## Built on by (most cited first, 12 of 12)

- [EasyTPP: Towards Open Benchmarking Temporal Point Processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.08097/) (2023)
- [Causal Discovery from Temporal Data: An Overview and New Perspectives](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.10112/) (2023)
- [Interactive Causal Structure Discovery in Earth System Sciences](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.01126/) (2021)
- [DOMINO: Visual Causal Reasoning with Time-Dependent Phenomena](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.06556/) (2023)
- [An Explainable AI Approach to Large Language Model Assisted Causal Model Auditing and Development](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.16211/) (2023)
- [LAST SToP For Modeling Asynchronous Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.01922/) (2025)
- [Visual Analysis of Multi-outcome Causal Graphs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.02679/) (2024)
- [VAC2: Visual Analysis of Combined Causality in Event Sequences](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.05420/) (2022)
- [VISPUR: Visual Aids for Identifying and Interpreting Spurious Associations in Data-Driven Decisions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.14448/) (2023)
- [ReDiTT: Retrieval Augmented Conditional Diffusion Transformers for Asynchronous Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.12391/) (2026)
- [Designing Computational Tools for Exploring Causal Relationships in Qualitative Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.06506/) (2026)
- [LMT: A Bayesian Framework for Causal Discovery from Textual Alarm Records in Manufacturing Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.09892/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Causality is crucial to understanding the mechanisms behind complex systems and making decisions that lead to intended outcomes. Event sequence data is widely collected from many real-world processes, such as electronic health records, web clickstreams, and financial transactions, which transmit a great deal of information reflecting the causal relations among event types. Unfortunately, recovering causalities from observational event sequences is challenging, as the heterogeneous and high-dimensional event variables are often connected to rather complex underlying event excitation mechanisms that are hard to infer from limited observations. Many existing automated causal analysis techniques suffer from poor explainability and fail to include an adequate amount of human knowledge. In this paper, we introduce a visual analytics method for recovering causalities in event sequence data. We extend the Granger causality analysis algorithm on Hawkes processes to incorporate user feedback into causal model refinement. The visualization system includes an interactive causal analysis framework that supports bottom-up causal exploration, iterative causal verification and refinement, and causal comparison through a set of novel visualizations and interactions. We report two forms of evaluation: a quantitative evaluation of the model improvements resulting from the user-feedback mechanism, and a qualitative evaluation through case studies in different application domains to demonstrate the usefulness of the system.
