# Dynamic Window-level Granger Causality of Multi-channel Time Series

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2006.07788 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.07788/

## Key facts

- Cited by 4 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 14 Jun 2020.

## Built on by (most cited first, 4 of 4)

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- [Client: Cross-variable Linear Integrated Enhanced Transformer for Multivariate Long-Term Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.18838/) (2023)
- [StackVAE-G: An efficient and interpretable model for time series anomaly detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.08397/) (2021)
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## Abstract (arXiv)

Granger causality method analyzes the time series causalities without building a complex causality graph. However, the traditional Granger causality method assumes that the causalities lie between time series channels and remain constant, which cannot model the real-world time series data with dynamic causalities along the time series channels. In this paper, we present the dynamic window-level Granger causality method (DWGC) for multi-channel time series data. We build the causality model on the window-level by doing the F-test with the forecasting errors on the sliding windows. We propose the causality indexing trick in our DWGC method to reweight the original time series data. Essentially, the causality indexing is to decrease the auto-correlation and increase the cross-correlation causal effects, which improves the DWGC method. Theoretical analysis and experimental results on two synthetic and one real-world datasets show that the improved DWGC method with causality indexing better detects the window-level causalities.
