# Modeling and presentation of vaccination coverage estimates using data from household surveys

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2004.03127 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.03127/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 7 Apr 2020.

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [Small Area Estimation with Random Forests and the LASSO](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.15180/) (2023)

## Abstract (arXiv)

It is becoming increasingly popular to produce high-resolution maps of vaccination coverage by fitting Bayesian geostatistical models to data from household surveys. Often, the surveys adopt a stratified cluster sampling design. We discuss a number of crucial choices with respect to two key aspects of the map production process: the acknowledgment of the survey design in modeling, and the appropriate presentation of estimates and their uncertainties. Specifically, we consider the importance of accounting for survey stratification and cluster-level non-spatial excess variation in survey outcomes when fitting geostatistical models. We also discuss the trade-off between the geographical scale and precision of model-based estimates, and demonstrate visualization methods for mapping and ranking that emphasize the probabilistic interpretation of results. A novel approach to coverage map presentation is proposed to allow comparison and control of the overall map uncertainty level. We use measles vaccination coverage in Nigeria as a motivating example and illustrate the different issues using data from the 2018 Nigeria Demographic and Health Survey.