# Understanding the Downstream Instability of Word Embeddings

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2003.04983 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.04983/

## Key facts

- Cited by 5 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 29 Feb 2020.

## Built on by (most cited first, 5 of 5)

- [Managing ML Pipelines: Feature Stores and the Coming Wave of Embedding Ecosystems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.05053/) (2021)
- [TransDrift: Modeling Word-Embedding Drift using Transformer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.08081/) (2022)
- [Evaluating Word Embeddings with Categorical Modularity](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.00877/) (2021)
- [The Impact of Dimensionality on the Stability of Node Embeddings](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.08492/) (2026)
- [Historical Anchors for Scientific Forecasting on Human-Aware Knowledge Graphs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.14023/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Many industrial machine learning (ML) systems require frequent retraining to keep up-to-date with constantly changing data. This retraining exacerbates a large challenge facing ML systems today: model training is unstable, i.e., small changes in training data can cause significant changes in the model's predictions. In this paper, we work on developing a deeper understanding of this instability, with a focus on how a core building block of modern natural language processing (NLP) pipelines---pre-trained word embeddings---affects the instability of downstream NLP models. We first empirically reveal a tradeoff between stability and memory: increasing the embedding memory 2x can reduce the disagreement in predictions due to small changes in training data by 5% to 37% (relative). To theoretically explain this tradeoff, we introduce a new measure of embedding instability---the eigenspace instability measure---which we prove bounds the disagreement in downstream predictions introduced by the change in word embeddings. Practically, we show that the eigenspace instability measure can be a cost-effective way to choose embedding parameters to minimize instability without training downstream models, outperforming other embedding distance measures and performing competitively with a nearest neighbor-based measure. Finally, we demonstrate that the observed stability-memory tradeoffs extend to other types of embeddings as well, including knowledge graph and contextual word embeddings.
