# Deep Survival Machines: Fully Parametric Survival Regression and Representation Learning for Censored Data with Competing Risks

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2003.01176 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.01176/

## Key facts

- Cited by 70 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 2 Mar 2020.

## Built on by (most cited first, 30 of 70)

- [MOTOR: A Time-To-Event Foundation Model For Structured Medical Records](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.03150/) (2023)
- [Deep Learning for Survival Analysis: A Review](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.14961/) (2023)
- [Deep Cox Mixtures for Survival Regression](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2101.06536/) (2021)
- [SurvTRACE: Transformers for Survival Analysis with Competing Events](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.00855/) (2021)
- [A Deep Variational Approach to Clustering Survival Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.05763/) (2021)
- [CoxKAN: Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks for Interpretable, High-Performance Survival Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.04290/) (2024)
- [Neural Fine-Gray: Monotonic neural networks for competing risks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.06703/) (2023)
- [auton-survival: an Open-Source Package for Regression, Counterfactual Estimation, Evaluation and Phenotyping with Censored Time-to-Event Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.07276/) (2022)
- [An Introduction to Deep Survival Analysis Models for Predicting Time-to-Event Outcomes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.01086/) (2024)
- [Counterfactual Phenotyping with Censored Time-to-Events](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.11089/) (2022)
- [Copula-Based Deep Survival Models for Dependent Censoring](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.11912/) (2023)
- [Survival Kernets: Scalable and Interpretable Deep Kernel Survival Analysis with an Accuracy Guarantee](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.10477/) (2022)
- [DySurv: dynamic deep learning model for survival analysis with conditional variational inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.18681/) (2023)
- [The Concordance Index decomposition: A measure for a deeper understanding of survival prediction models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.00144/) (2022)
- [HACSurv: A Hierarchical Copula-Based Approach for Survival Analysis with Dependent Competing Risks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.15180/) (2024)
- [Survival Models: Proper Scoring Rule and Stochastic Optimization with Competing Risks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.16765/) (2024)
- [Survival In-Context: Amortized Bayesian Survival Analysis via Prior-Fitted Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.29475/) (2026)
- [Survival Seq2Seq: A Survival Model based on Sequence to Sequence Architecture](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.04542/) (2022)
- [Efficient Training of Probabilistic Neural Networks for Survival Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.06421/) (2024)
- [FPBoost: Fully Parametric Gradient Boosting for Survival Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.13363/) (2024)
- [Toward a Well-Calibrated Discrimination via Survival Outcome-Aware Contrastive Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.11340/) (2024)
- [Deep conditional transformation models for survival analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.11366/) (2022)
- [Deep Clustering Survival Machines with Interpretable Expert Distributions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.11826/) (2023)
- [Using Geographic Location-based Public Health Features in Survival Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.07679/) (2023)
- [Adaptive Transformer Modelling of Density Function for Nonparametric Survival Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.06209/) (2024)
- [MENSA: A Multi-Event Network for Survival Analysis with Trajectory-based Likelihood Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.06525/) (2024)
- [Beyond Cox Models: Assessing the Performance of Machine-Learning Methods in Non-Proportional Hazards and Non-Linear Survival Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.17568/) (2025)
- [Competing Risks: Impact on Risk Estimation and Algorithmic Fairness](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.05435/) (2025)
- [SVL: Goal-Conditioned Reinforcement Learning as Survival Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.17551/) (2026)
- [Variable selection for nonlinear Cox regression model via deep learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.09287/) (2022)

## Abstract (arXiv)

We describe a new approach to estimating relative risks in time-to-event prediction problems with censored data in a fully parametric manner. Our approach does not require making strong assumptions of constant proportional hazard of the underlying survival distribution, as required by the Cox-proportional hazard model. By jointly learning deep nonlinear representations of the input covariates, we demonstrate the benefits of our approach when used to estimate survival risks through extensive experimentation on multiple real world datasets with different levels of censoring. We further demonstrate advantages of our model in the competing risks scenario. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work involving fully parametric estimation of survival times with competing risks in the presence of censoring.
