# Uncertainty-Aware Variational-Recurrent Imputation Network for Clinical Time Series

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2003.00662 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.00662/

## Key facts

- Cited by 33 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 2 Mar 2020.

## Built on by (most cited first, 30 of 33)

- [CSDI: Conditional Score-based Diffusion Models for Probabilistic Time Series Imputation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.03502/) (2021)
- [Diffusion Models for Time Series Applications: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.00624/) (2023)
- [PriSTI: A Conditional Diffusion Framework for Spatiotemporal Imputation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.09746/) (2023)
- [Deep Learning for Multivariate Time Series Imputation: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.04059/) (2024)
- [Provably Convergent Schr"odinger Bridge with Applications to Probabilistic Time Series Imputation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.07247/) (2023)
- [Handling missing values in healthcare data: A systematic review of deep learning-based imputation techniques](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.08258/) (2022)
- [SSD-TS: Exploring the Potential of Linear State Space Models for Diffusion Models in Time Series Imputation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.13338/) (2024)
- [Self-Supervised Graph Learning with Hyperbolic Embedding for Temporal Health Event Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.04751/) (2021)
- [BayOTIDE: Bayesian Online Multivariate Time series Imputation with functional decomposition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.14906/) (2023)
- [Self-Supervised Learning of Time Series Representation via Diffusion Process and Imputation-Interpolation-Forecasting Mask](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.05959/) (2024)
- [Glocal Information Bottleneck for Time Series Imputation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.04910/) (2025)
- [How Deep is your Guess? A Fresh Perspective on Deep Learning for Medical Time-Series Imputation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.08442/) (2024)
- [CFMI: Flow Matching for Missing Data Imputation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.09258/) (2025)
- [A Temporally Disentangled Contrastive Diffusion Model for Spatiotemporal Imputation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.11558/) (2024)
- [FastSTI: A Fast Conditional Pseudo Numerical Diffusion Model for Spatio-temporal Traffic Data Imputation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.15248/) (2024)
- [EgPDE-Net: Building Continuous Neural Networks for Time Series Prediction with Exogenous Variables](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.01913/) (2022)
- [Optimal Stochastic Trace Estimation in Generative Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.18808/) (2025)
- [Beyond Accuracy: An Empirical Study of Uncertainty Estimation in Imputation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.21607/) (2025)
- [FADTI: Fourier and Attention Driven Diffusion for Multivariate Time Series Imputation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.15116/) (2025)
- [Contrastive Learning-based Imputation-Prediction Networks for In-hospital Mortality Risk Modeling using EHRs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.09896/) (2023)
- [Deep sub-ensembles meets quantile regression: uncertainty-aware imputation for time series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.01294/) (2023)
- [CSAI: Conditional Self-Attention Imputation for Healthcare Time-series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.16713/) (2023)
- [Uncertainty-Aware Deep Attention Recurrent Neural Network for Heterogeneous Time Series Imputation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.02258/) (2024)
- [TIMBA: Time series Imputation with Bi-directional Mamba Blocks and Diffusion models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.05916/) (2024)
- [Causal View of Time Series Imputation: Some Identification Results on Missing Mechanism](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.07180/) (2025)
- [Filling the Missings: Spatiotemporal Data Imputation by Conditional Diffusion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.07099/) (2025)
- [Multistage Large Segment Imputation Framework Based on Deep Learning and Statistic Metrics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.11766/) (2022)
- [Knowledge-Induced Medicine Prescribing Network for Medication Recommendation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.14552/) (2023)
- [A Multitask VAE for Time Series Preprocessing and Prediction of Blood Glucose Level](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.00015/) (2024)
- [Modular Deep Learning for Multivariate Time-Series: Decoupling Imputation and Downstream Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.03941/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Electronic health records (EHR) consist of longitudinal clinical observations portrayed with sparsity, irregularity, and high-dimensionality, which become major obstacles in drawing reliable downstream clinical outcomes. Although there exist great numbers of imputation methods to tackle these issues, most of them ignore correlated features, temporal dynamics and entirely set aside the uncertainty. Since the missing value estimates involve the risk of being inaccurate, it is appropriate for the method to handle the less certain information differently than the reliable data. In that regard, we can use the uncertainties in estimating the missing values as the fidelity score to be further utilized to alleviate the risk of biased missing value estimates. In this work, we propose a novel variational-recurrent imputation network, which unifies an imputation and a prediction network by taking into account the correlated features, temporal dynamics, as well as the uncertainty. Specifically, we leverage the deep generative model in the imputation, which is based on the distribution among variables, and a recurrent imputation network to exploit the temporal relations, in conjunction with utilization of the uncertainty. We validated the effectiveness of our proposed model on two publicly available real-world EHR datasets: PhysioNet Challenge 2012 and MIMIC-III, and compared the results with other competing state-of-the-art methods in the literature.
