# Learning Stochastic Behaviour from Aggregate Data

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2002.03513 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.03513/

## Key facts

- Cited by 12 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 10 Feb 2020.

## Built on by (most cited first, 12 of 12)

- [Neural Monge Map estimation and its applications](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.03812/) (2021)
- [Energy-guided Entropic Neural Optimal Transport](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.06094/) (2023)
- [Learning High Dimensional Wasserstein Geodesics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.02992/) (2021)
- [Estimating Latent Population Flows from Aggregated Data via Inversing Multi-Marginal Optimal Transport](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.14527/) (2022)
- [An efficient Wasserstein-distance approach for reconstructing jump-diffusion processes using parameterized neural networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.01653/) (2024)
- [Weak Collocation Regression method: fast reveal hidden stochastic dynamics from high-dimensional aggregate data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.02628/) (2022)
- [SARN: Structurally-Aware Recurrent Network for Spatio-Temporal Disaggregation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.07292/) (2023)
- [Weak Collocation Regression for Inferring Stochastic Dynamics with L'evy Noise](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.08292/) (2024)
- [Moment Estimate and Variational Approach for Learning Generalized Diffusion with Non-gradient Structures](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.01854/) (2025)
- [Structure-Aware Variational Learning of a Class of Generalized Diffusions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.20188/) (2026)
- [Mean Field Game GAN](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.07855/) (2021)
- [A Robust Model-Based Approach for Continuous-Time Policy Evaluation with Unknown L'evy Process Dynamics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.01482/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Learning nonlinear dynamics from aggregate data is a challenging problem because the full trajectory of each individual is not available, namely, the individual observed at one time may not be observed at the next time point, or the identity of individual is unavailable. This is in sharp contrast to learning dynamics with full trajectory data, on which the majority of existing methods are based. We propose a novel method using the weak form of Fokker Planck Equation (FPE) -- a partial differential equation -- to describe the density evolution of data in a sampled form, which is then combined with Wasserstein generative adversarial network (WGAN) in the training process. In such a sample-based framework we are able to learn the nonlinear dynamics from aggregate data without explicitly solving the partial differential equation (PDE) FPE. We demonstrate our approach in the context of a series of synthetic and real-world data sets.
