# StageNet: Stage-Aware Neural Networks for Health Risk Prediction

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2001.10054 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2001.10054/

## Key facts

- Cited by 48 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 24 Jan 2020.

## Built on by (most cited first, 30 of 48)

- [GraphCare: Enhancing Healthcare Predictions with Personalized Knowledge Graphs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.12788/) (2023)
- [Deep learning for temporal data representation in electronic health records: A systematic review of challenges and methodologies](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.09951/) (2021)
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- [RAM-EHR: Retrieval Augmentation Meets Clinical Predictions on Electronic Health Records](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.00815/) (2024)
- [medIKAL: Integrating Knowledge Graphs as Assistants of LLMs for Enhanced Clinical Diagnosis on EMRs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.14326/) (2024)
- [Multi-modal Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.03385/) (2024)
- [Emotion fusion for mental illness detection from social media: A survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.09493/) (2023)
- [Recent Advances in Predictive Modeling with Electronic Health Records](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.01077/) (2024)
- [SCEHR: Supervised Contrastive Learning for Clinical Risk Prediction using Electronic Health Records](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.04943/) (2021)
- [A Comprehensive Benchmark for COVID-19 Predictive Modeling Using Electronic Health Records in Intensive Care](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.07805/) (2022)
- [PyHealth: A Python Library for Health Predictive Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2101.04209/) (2021)
- [Predictive Modeling with Temporal Graphical Representation on Electronic Health Records](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.03943/) (2024)
- [SMART: Towards Pre-trained Missing-Aware Model for Patient Health Status Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.09039/) (2024)
- [Artificial Intelligence for In Silico Clinical Trials: A Review](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.09023/) (2022)
- [Predict and Interpret Health Risk using EHR through Typical Patients](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.10977/) (2023)
- [Multi-task Heterogeneous Graph Learning on Electronic Health Records](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.07569/) (2024)
- [Unveiling Discrete Clues: Superior Healthcare Predictions for Rare Diseases](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.16373/) (2025)
- [Democratizing Large Language Model-Based Graph Data Augmentation via Latent Knowledge Graphs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.13555/) (2025)
- [MIPO: Mutual Integration of Patient Journey and Medical Ontology for Healthcare Representation Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.09288/) (2021)
- [Deep Stable Representation Learning on Electronic Health Records](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.01321/) (2022)
- [PyTrial: Machine Learning Software and Benchmark for Clinical Trial Applications](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.04018/) (2023)
- [CohortNet: Empowering Cohort Discovery for Interpretable Healthcare Analytics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.14015/) (2024)
- [Self-Explaining Hypergraph Neural Networks for Diagnosis Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.10689/) (2025)
- [CATNet: Cross-event Attention-based Time-aware Network for Medical Event Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.13847/) (2022)
- [Causal Discovery with Stage Variables for Health Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.03662/) (2023)
- [Diffmv: A Unified Diffusion Framework for Healthcare Predictions with Random Missing Views and View Laziness](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.11802/) (2025)
- [ProtoEHR: Hierarchical Prototype Learning for EHR-based Healthcare Predictions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.18313/) (2025)
- [PyHealth 2.0: A Comprehensive Open-Source Toolkit for Accessible and Reproducible Clinical Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.16414/) (2026)
- [Cardiac Complication Risk Profiling for Cancer Survivors via Multi-View Multi-Task Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.12276/) (2021)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Deep learning has demonstrated success in health risk prediction especially for patients with chronic and progressing conditions. Most existing works focus on learning disease Network (StageNet) model to extract disease stage information from patient data and integrate it into risk prediction. StageNet is enabled by (1) a stage-aware long short-term memory (LSTM) module that extracts health stage variations unsupervisedly; (2) a stage-adaptive convolutional module that incorporates stage-related progression patterns into risk prediction. We evaluate StageNet on two real-world datasets and show that StageNet outperforms state-of-the-art models in risk prediction task and patient subtyping task. Compared to the best baseline model, StageNet achieves up to 12% higher AUPRC for risk prediction task on two real-world patient datasets. StageNet also achieves over 58% higher Calinski-Harabasz score (a cluster quality metric) for a patient subtyping task.
