# Localized Debiased Machine Learning: Efficient Inference on Quantile Treatment Effects and Beyond

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/1912.12945 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.12945/

## Key facts

- Cited by 23 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 30 Dec 2019.

## Built on by (most cited first, 23 of 23)

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- [Minimax Kernel Machine Learning for a Class of Doubly Robust Functionals with Application to Proximal Causal Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.02929/) (2021)
- [Robust and Agnostic Learning of Conditional Distributional Treatment Effects](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.11486/) (2022)
- [Treatment Effect Risk: Bounds and Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.05893/) (2022)
- [Evaluating Dynamic Conditional Quantile Treatment Effects with Applications in Ridesharing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.10187/) (2023)
- [Orthogonal Causal Calibration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.01933/) (2024)
- [Distributionally Robust Policy Learning under Concept Drifts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.14297/) (2024)
- [On Efficient Estimation of Distributional Treatment Effects under Covariate-Adaptive Randomization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.05945/) (2025)
- [Quantile Off-Policy Evaluation via Deep Conditional Generative Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.14466/) (2022)
- [Estimating Distributional Treatment Effects in Randomized Experiments: Machine Learning for Variance Reduction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.16037/) (2024)
- [Double Machine Learning for Causal Inference under Shared-State Interference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.08836/) (2025)
- [On the Role of Surrogates in Conformal Inference of Individual Causal Effects](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.12365/) (2024)
- [Beyond the Average: Distributional Causal Inference under Imperfect Compliance](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.15594/) (2025)
- [Federated Learning of Quantile Inference under Local Differential Privacy](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.21800/) (2025)
- [Semiparametric Preference Optimization: Your Language Model is Secretly a Single-Index Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.21917/) (2025)
- [Functional Linear Regression of Cumulative Distribution Functions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.14545/) (2022)
- [Data-Driven Influence Functions for Optimization-Based Causal Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.13701/) (2022)
- [Causal Inference for Genomic Data with Multiple Heterogeneous Outcomes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.09119/) (2024)
- [Efficient and Scalable Estimation of Distributional Treatment Effects with Multi-Task Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.07738/) (2025)
- [Online Data Collection for Efficient Semiparametric Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.03195/) (2024)
- [Toward an Asymptotic Efficiency Theory on Regular Parameter Manifolds](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.13703/) (2025)
- [Debiased Machine Learning for Conformal Prediction of Counterfactual Outcomes Under Runtime Confounding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.03772/) (2026)
- [Nonparametric efficient inference for network quantile causal effects under partial interference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.13008/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

We consider estimating a low-dimensional parameter in an estimating equation involving high-dimensional nuisances that depend on the parameter. A central example is the efficient estimating equation for the (local) quantile treatment effect ((L)QTE) in causal inference, which involves as a nuisance the covariate-conditional cumulative distribution function evaluated at the quantile to be estimated. Debiased machine learning (DML) is a data-splitting approach to estimating high-dimensional nuisances using flexible machine learning methods, but applying it to problems with parameter-dependent nuisances is impractical. For (L)QTE, DML requires we learn the whole covariate-conditional cumulative distribution function. We instead propose localized debiased machine learning (LDML), which avoids this burdensome step and needs only estimate nuisances at a single initial rough guess for the parameter. For (L)QTE, LDML involves learning just two regression functions, a standard task for machine learning methods. We prove that under lax rate conditions our estimator has the same favorable asymptotic behavior as the infeasible estimator that uses the unknown true nuisances. Thus, LDML notably enables practically-feasible and theoretically-grounded efficient estimation of important quantities in causal inference such as (L)QTEs when we must control for many covariates and/or flexible relationships, as we demonstrate in empirical studies.
