# Counterfactual Evaluation of Treatment Assignment Functions with Networked Observational Data

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/1912.10536 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.10536/

## Key facts

- Cited by 7 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 22 Dec 2019.

## Built on by (most cited first, 7 of 7)

- [Evaluation Methods and Measures for Causal Learning Algorithms](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.02896/) (2022)
- [Estimating Treatment Effects from Irregular Time Series Observations with Hidden Confounders](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.02320/) (2023)
- [Generalization bound for estimating causal effects from observational network data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.04011/) (2023)
- [Using Embeddings for Causal Estimation of Peer Influence in Social Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.08033/) (2022)
- [Graph Neural Network with Two Uplift Estimators for Label-Scarcity Individual Uplift Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.06489/) (2024)
- [C-HDNet: Hyperdimensional Computing for Causal Effect Estimation from Observational Data Under Network Interference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.16562/) (2025)
- [Disentangled Graph Autoencoder for Treatment Effect Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.14497/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Counterfactual evaluation of novel treatment assignment functions (e.g., advertising algorithms and recommender systems) is one of the most crucial causal inference problems for practitioners. Traditionally, randomized controlled trials (A/B tests) are performed to evaluate treatment assignment functions. However, such trials can be time-consuming, expensive, and even unethical in some cases. Therefore, offline counterfactual evaluation of treatment assignment functions becomes a pressing issue because a massive amount of observational data is available in today's big data era. Counterfactual evaluation requires handling the hidden confounders -- the unmeasured features which causally influence both the treatment assignment and the outcome. To deal with the hidden confounders, most of the existing methods rely on the assumption of no hidden confounders. However, this assumption can be untenable in the context of massive observational data. When such data comes with network information, the later can be potentially useful to correct hidden confounding bias. As such, we first formulate a novel problem, counterfactual evaluation of treatment assignment functions with networked observational data. Then, we investigate the following research questions: How can we utilize network information in counterfactual evaluation? Can network information improve the estimates in counterfactual evaluation? Toward answering these questions, first, we propose a novel framework, Counterfactual Network Evaluator (CONE), which (1) learns partial representations of latent confounders under the supervision of observed treatments and outcomes; and (2) combines them for counterfactual evaluation. Then through extensive experiments, we corroborate the effectiveness of CONE. The results imply that incorporating network information mitigates hidden confounding bias in counterfactual evaluation.
