# Potential Passenger Flow Prediction: A Novel Study for Urban Transportation Development

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/1912.03440 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.03440/

## Key facts

- Cited by 7 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 7 Dec 2019.

## Built on by (most cited first, 7 of 7)

- [Traffic Prediction using Artificial Intelligence: Review of Recent Advances and Emerging Opportunities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.19591/) (2023)
- [STGC-GNNs: A GNN-based traffic prediction framework with a spatial-temporal Granger causality graph](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.16789/) (2022)
- [Spatio-Temporal Dynamic Graph Relation Learning for Urban Metro Flow Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.02650/) (2022)
- [Deep trip generation with graph neural networks for bike sharing system expansion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.11977/) (2023)
- [Modeling Heterogeneous Relations across Multiple Modes for Potential Crowd Flow Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2101.06954/) (2021)
- [Latent Evolution Model for Change Point Detection in Time-varying Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.08818/) (2022)
- [MM-STFlowNet: A Transportation Hub-Oriented Multi-Mode Passenger Flow Prediction Method via Spatial-Temporal Dynamic Graph Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.06325/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Recently, practical applications for passenger flow prediction have brought many benefits to urban transportation development. With the development of urbanization, a real-world demand from transportation managers is to construct a new metro station in one city area that never planned before. Authorities are interested in the picture of the future volume of commuters before constructing a new station, and estimate how would it affect other areas. In this paper, this specific problem is termed as potential passenger flow (PPF) prediction, which is a novel and important study connected with urban computing and intelligent transportation systems. For example, an accurate PPF predictor can provide invaluable knowledge to designers, such as the advice of station scales and influences on other areas, etc. To address this problem, we propose a multi-view localized correlation learning method. The core idea of our strategy is to learn the passenger flow correlations between the target areas and their localized areas with adaptive-weight. To improve the prediction accuracy, other domain knowledge is involved via a multi-view learning process. We conduct intensive experiments to evaluate the effectiveness of our method with real-world official transportation datasets. The results demonstrate that our method can achieve excellent performance compared with other available baselines. Besides, our method can provide an effective solution to the cold-start problem in the recommender system as well, which proved by its outperformed experimental results.