# Greed is Good: Exploration and Exploitation Trade-offs in Bayesian Optimisation

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/1911.12809 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.12809/

## Key facts

- Cited by 51 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 28 Nov 2019.

## Built on by (most cited first, 30 of 51)

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- [Accelerating material discovery with a threshold-driven hybrid acquisition policy-based Bayesian optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.09591/) (2023)
- [A Unified Framework for Entropy Search and Expected Improvement in Bayesian Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.18756/) (2025)
- [Deterministic Global Optimization of the Acquisition Function in Bayesian Optimization: To Do or Not To Do?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.03625/) (2025)
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- [A Parallel Technique for Multi-objective Bayesian Global Optimization: Using a Batch Selection of Probability of Improvement](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.03685/) (2022)
- [Batched Energy-Entropy acquisition for Bayesian Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.08804/) (2024)
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- [Uncertainty quantification and exploration-exploitation trade-off in humans](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.07647/) (2021)
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## Abstract (arXiv)

The performance of acquisition functions for Bayesian optimisation to locate the global optimum of continuous functions is investigated in terms of the Pareto front between exploration and exploitation. We show that Expected Improvement (EI) and the Upper Confidence Bound (UCB) always select solutions to be expensively evaluated on the Pareto front, but Probability of Improvement is not guaranteed to do so and Weighted Expected Improvement does so only for a restricted range of weights. We introduce two novel ε-greedy acquisition functions. Extensive empirical evaluation of these together with random search, purely exploratory, and purely exploitative search on 10 benchmark problems in 1 to 10 dimensions shows that ε-greedy algorithms are generally at least as effective as conventional acquisition functions (e.g., EI and UCB), particularly with a limited budget. In higher dimensions ε-greedy approaches are shown to have improved performance over conventional approaches. These results are borne out on a real world computational fluid dynamics optimisation problem and a robotics active learning problem. Our analysis and experiments suggest that the most effective strategy, particularly in higher dimensions, is to be mostly greedy, occasionally selecting a random exploratory solution.
