# Comment: Reflections on the Deconfounder

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/1910.08042 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.08042/

## Key facts

- Cited by 6 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 17 Oct 2019.

## Built on by (most cited first, 6 of 6)

- [Integrating Earth Observation Data into Causal Inference: Challenges and Opportunities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.12985/) (2023)
- [Two-way Deconfounder for Off-policy Evaluation in Causal Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.05783/) (2024)
- [Estimating Causal Effects Under Image Confounding Bias with an Application to Poverty in Africa](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.06410/) (2022)
- [Spatial Deconfounder: Interference-Aware Deconfounding for Spatial Causal Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.08762/) (2025)
- [The Blessings of Multiple Treatments and Outcomes in Treatment Effect Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.17283/) (2023)
- [Causal Dynamic Variational Autoencoder for Counterfactual Regression in Longitudinal Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.10559/) (2023)

## Abstract (arXiv)

The aim of this comment (set to appear in a formal discussion in JASA) is to draw out some conclusions from an extended back-and-forth I have had with Wang and Blei regarding the deconfounder method proposed in "The Blessings of Multiple Causes" [arXiv:1805.06826]. I will make three points here. First, in my role as the critic in this conversation, I will summarize some arguments about the lack of causal identification in the bulk of settings where the "informal" message of the paper suggests that the deconfounder could be used. This is a point that is discussed at length in D'Amour 2019 [arXiv:1902.10286], which motivated the results concerning causal identification in Theorems 6--8 of "Blessings". Second, I will argue that adding parametric assumptions to the working model in order to obtain identification of causal parameters (a strategy followed in Theorem 6 and in the experimental examples) is a risky strategy, and should only be done when extremely strong prior information is available. Finally, I will consider the implications of the nonparametric identification results provided for a narrow, but non-trivial, set of causal estimands in Theorems 7 and 8. I will highlight that these results may be even more interesting from the perspective of detecting causal identification from observed data, under relatively weak assumptions about confounders.
