# Doubly Robust Bias Reduction in Infinite Horizon Off-Policy Estimation

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/1910.07186 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.07186/

## Key facts

- Cited by 48 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 16 Oct 2019.

## Built on by (most cited first, 30 of 48)

- [Offline Reinforcement Learning: Tutorial, Review, and Perspectives on Open Problems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.01643/) (2020)
- [Is Pessimism Provably Efficient for Offline RL?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.15085/) (2020)
- [A Review of Safe Reinforcement Learning: Methods, Theory and Applications](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.10330/) (2022)
- [Offline Reinforcement Learning with Realizability and Single-policy Concentrability](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.04634/) (2022)
- [Provable Benefits of Actor-Critic Methods for Offline Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.08812/) (2021)
- [A Review of Off-Policy Evaluation in Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.06355/) (2022)
- [Deeply-Debiased Off-Policy Interval Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.04646/) (2021)
- [Variance-Aware Off-Policy Evaluation with Linear Function Approximation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.11960/) (2021)
- [On Well-posedness and Minimax Optimal Rates of Nonparametric Q-function Estimation in Off-policy Evaluation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.06169/) (2022)
- [Average-Reward Off-Policy Policy Evaluation with Function Approximation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2101.02808/) (2021)
- [Density Constrained Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.12764/) (2021)
- [Markovian Interference in Experiments](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.02371/) (2022)
- [Doubly Robust Off-Policy Actor-Critic: Convergence and Optimality](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.11866/) (2021)
- [An Instrumental Variable Approach to Confounded Off-Policy Evaluation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.14468/) (2022)
- [Offline Reinforcement Learning with Instrumental Variables in Confounded Markov Decision Processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.08666/) (2022)
- [When is Realizability Sufficient for Off-Policy Reinforcement Learning?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.05311/) (2022)
- [Projected State-action Balancing Weights for Offline Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.04640/) (2021)
- [Continual Learning In Environments With Polynomial Mixing Times](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.07066/) (2021)
- [Conformal Off-policy Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.06711/) (2022)
- [Regularizing a Model-based Policy Stationary Distribution to Stabilize Offline Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.07166/) (2022)
- [A Unified Framework for Alternating Offline Model Training and Policy Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.05922/) (2022)
- [Offline Multi-task Transfer RL with Representational Penalization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.12570/) (2024)
- [Robust Fitted-Q-Evaluation and Iteration under Sequentially Exogenous Unobserved Confounders](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.00662/) (2023)
- [Doubly Robust Alignment for Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.01183/) (2025)
- [Non-asymptotic Confidence Intervals of Off-policy Evaluation: Primal and Dual Bounds](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.05741/) (2021)
- [Robust Imitation Learning from Corrupted Demonstrations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.12594/) (2022)
- [Bellman Residual Orthogonalization for Offline Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.12786/) (2022)
- [Offline Learning of Closed-Loop Deep Brain Stimulation Controllers for Parkinson Disease Treatment](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.02477/) (2023)
- [Optimizing Language Models for Human Preferences is a Causal Inference Problem](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.14979/) (2024)
- [Robust Offline Reinforcement learning with Heavy-Tailed Rewards](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.18715/) (2023)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Infinite horizon off-policy policy evaluation is a highly challenging task due to the excessively large variance of typical importance sampling (IS) estimators. Recently, Liu et al. (2018a) proposed an approach that significantly reduces the variance of infinite-horizon off-policy evaluation by estimating the stationary density ratio, but at the cost of introducing potentially high biases due to the error in density ratio estimation. In this paper, we develop a bias-reduced augmentation of their method, which can take advantage of a learned value function to obtain higher accuracy. Our method is doubly robust in that the bias vanishes when either the density ratio or the value function estimation is perfect. In general, when either of them is accurate, the bias can also be reduced. Both theoretical and empirical results show that our method yields significant advantages over previous methods.
