# Prediction of citation dynamics of individual papers

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/1910.00867 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.00867/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 2 Oct 2019.

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [ReviewGuard: Aligning LLM-Assisted Peer Review with Long-Term Scientific Impact](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.24892/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

We apply stochastic model of citation dynamics of individual papers developed in our previous work (M. Golosovsky and S. Solomon, Phys. Rev. E 95, 012324 (2017)) to forecast citation career of individual papers. We focus not only on the estimate of the future citations of a paper but on the probabilistic margins of such estimate as well.