# Mortality rate forecasting: can recurrent neural networks beat the Lee-Carter model?

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/1909.05501 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.05501/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 12 Sep 2019.

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [Zero-Shot Forecasting Mortality Rates: A Global Study](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.13521/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

This article applies a long short-term memory recurrent neural network to mortality rate forecasting. The model can be trained jointly on the mortality rate history of different countries, ages, and sexes. The RNN-based method seems to outperform the popular Lee-Carter model.