# Predicting Choice with Set-Dependent Aggregation

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/1906.06365 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.06365/

## Key facts

- Cited by 13 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 14 Jun 2019.

## Built on by (most cited first, 13 of 13)

- [Representing Random Utility Choice Models with Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.12877/) (2022)
- [Graph-Based Methods for Discrete Choice](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.11365/) (2022)
- [Transformer Choice Net: A Transformer Neural Network for Choice Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.08716/) (2023)
- [Strategic Representation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.08542/) (2022)
- [Leveraging Sparsity for Sample-Efficient Preference Learning: A Theoretical Perspective](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.18282/) (2025)
- [On the estimation of discrete choice models to capture irrational customer behaviors](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.03882/) (2021)
- [Active metric learning and classification using similarity queries](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.01953/) (2022)
- [Choice Set Confounding in Discrete Choice](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.07959/) (2021)
- [Fast Learning of MNL Model from General Partial Rankings with Application to Network Formation Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.15575/) (2021)
- [Approximating a RUM from Distributions on k-Slates](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.13283/) (2023)
- [DeepHalo: A Neural Choice Model with Controllable Context Effects](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.04616/) (2026)
- [Pacos: Modeling Users' Interpretable and Context-Dependent Choices in Preference Reversals](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.05648/) (2023)
- [From Small to Large: A Graph Convolutional Network Approach for Solving Assortment Optimization Problems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.10834/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Providing users with alternatives to choose from is an essential component in many online platforms, making the accurate prediction of choice vital to their success. A renewed interest in learning choice models has led to significant progress in modeling power, but most current methods are either limited in the types of choice behavior they capture, cannot be applied to large-scale data, or both. Here we propose a learning framework for predicting choice that is accurate, versatile, theoretically grounded, and scales well. Our key modeling point is that to account for how humans choose, predictive models must capture certain set-related invariances. Building on recent results in economics, we derive a class of models that can express any behavioral choice pattern, enjoy favorable sample complexity guarantees, and can be efficiently trained end-to-end. Experiments on three large choice datasets demonstrate the utility of our approach.
