# Temporal Relational Ranking for Stock Prediction

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/1809.09441 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/1809.09441/

## Key facts

- Cited by 102 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 25 Sep 2018.

## Built on by (most cited first, 30 of 102)

- [TFB: Towards Comprehensive and Fair Benchmarking of Time Series Forecasting Methods](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.20150/) (2024)
- [A Multimodal Foundation Agent for Financial Trading: Tool-Augmented, Diversified, and Generalist](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.18485/) (2024)
- [A Review on Graph Neural Network Methods in Financial Applications](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.15367/) (2021)
- [TSFM-Bench: A Comprehensive and Unified Benchmark of Foundation Models for Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.11802/) (2024)
- [HIST: A Graph-based Framework for Stock Trend Forecasting via Mining Concept-Oriented Shared Information](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.13716/) (2021)
- [Temporal Knowledge Graph Reasoning with Historical Contrastive Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.10904/) (2022)
- [A Survey on Deep Learning based Time Series Analysis with Frequency Transformation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.02173/) (2023)
- [Learning to Generate Explainable Stock Predictions using Self-Reflective Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.03659/) (2024)
- [LLMFactor: Extracting Profitable Factors through Prompts for Explainable Stock Movement Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.10811/) (2024)
- [AlphaEvolve: A Learning Framework to Discover Novel Alphas in Quantitative Investment](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.16196/) (2021)
- [REST: Relational Event-driven Stock Trend Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.07372/) (2021)
- [Temporal and Heterogeneous Graph Neural Network for Financial Time Series Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.08740/) (2023)
- [Provably Powerful Graph Neural Networks for Directed Multigraphs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.11586/) (2023)
- [Reinforcement Learning for Quantitative Trading](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.13851/) (2021)
- [Can LLM-based Financial Investing Strategies Outperform the Market in Long Run?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.07078/) (2025)
- [Efficient Integration of Multi-Order Dynamics and Internal Dynamics in Stock Movement Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.07400/) (2022)
- [MDGNN: Multi-Relational Dynamic Graph Neural Network for Comprehensive and Dynamic Stock Investment Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.06633/) (2024)
- [DeepScalper: A Risk-Aware Reinforcement Learning Framework to Capture Fleeting Intraday Trading Opportunities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.09058/) (2021)
- [A Word is Worth A Thousand Dollars: Adversarial Attack on Tweets Fools Stock Predictions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.01094/) (2022)
- [Stock Movement Prediction Based on Bi-typed Hybrid-relational Market Knowledge Graph via Dual Attention Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.04965/) (2022)
- [Graph Neural Networks for Tabular Data Learning: A Survey with Taxonomy and Directions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.02143/) (2024)
- [From Values to Tokens: An LLM-Driven Framework for Context-aware Time Series Forecasting via Symbolic Discretization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.09191/) (2025)
- [Wizard of Search Engine: Access to Information Through Conversations with Search Engines](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.08301/) (2021)
- [Diffusion Variational Autoencoder for Tackling Stochasticity in Multi-Step Regression Stock Price Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.00073/) (2023)
- [A Systematic Literature Review of Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Network Models for Time Series Forecasting and Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.22377/) (2024)
- [MemCast: Memory-Driven Time Series Forecasting with Experience-Conditioned Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.03164/) (2026)
- [Local-Global History-aware Contrastive Learning for Temporal Knowledge Graph Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.01601/) (2023)
- [DGDNN: Decoupled Graph Diffusion Neural Network for Stock Movement Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.01846/) (2024)
- [From Culture to Clothing: Discovering the World Events Behind A Century of Fashion Images](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.01690/) (2021)
- [Reinforcement Learning with Maskable Stock Representation for Portfolio Management in Customizable Stock Pools](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.10801/) (2023)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Stock prediction aims to predict the future trends of a stock in order to help investors to make good investment decisions. Traditional solutions for stock prediction are based on time-series models. With the recent success of deep neural networks in modeling sequential data, deep learning has become a promising choice for stock prediction. However, most existing deep learning solutions are not optimized towards the target of investment, i.e., selecting the best stock with the highest expected revenue. Specifically, they typically formulate stock prediction as a classification (to predict stock trend) or a regression problem (to predict stock price). More importantly, they largely treat the stocks as independent of each other. The valuable signal in the rich relations between stocks (or companies), such as two stocks are in the same sector and two companies have a supplier-customer relation, is not considered. In this work, we contribute a new deep learning solution, named Relational Stock Ranking (RSR), for stock prediction. Our RSR method advances existing solutions in two major aspects: 1) tailoring the deep learning models for stock ranking, and 2) capturing the stock relations in a time-sensitive manner. The key novelty of our work is the proposal of a new component in neural network modeling, named Temporal Graph Convolution, which jointly models the temporal evolution and relation network of stocks. To validate our method, we perform back-testing on the historical data of two stock markets, NYSE and NASDAQ. Extensive experiments demonstrate the superiority of our RSR method. It outperforms state-of-the-art stock prediction solutions achieving an average return ratio of 98% and 71% on NYSE and NASDAQ, respectively.
