# Validating Bayesian Inference Algorithms with Simulation-Based Calibration

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/1804.06788 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/1804.06788/

## Key facts

- Cited by 124 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 18 Apr 2018.

## Built on by (most cited first, 30 of 124)

- [Benchmarking Simulation-Based Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2101.04653/) (2021)
- [Detecting Model Misspecification in Amortized Bayesian Inference with Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.08866/) (2021)
- [Robust Neural Posterior Estimation and Statistical Model Criticism](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.06564/) (2022)
- [Sampling-Based Accuracy Testing of Posterior Estimators for General Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.03026/) (2023)
- [Truncated proposals for scalable and hassle-free simulation-based inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.04815/) (2022)
- [JANA: Jointly Amortized Neural Approximation of Complex Bayesian Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.09125/) (2023)
- [Neural Methods for Amortized Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.12484/) (2024)
- [GATSBI: Generative Adversarial Training for Simulation-Based Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.06481/) (2022)
- [BayesFlow: Amortized Bayesian Workflows With Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.16015/) (2023)
- [Simulation-Based Inference: A Practical Guide](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.12939/) (2025)
- [Sequential Neural Posterior and Likelihood Approximation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.06522/) (2021)
- [A Trust Crisis In Simulation-Based Inference? Your Posterior Approximations Can Be Unfaithful](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.06581/) (2021)
- [Towards Reliable Simulation-Based Inference with Balanced Neural Ratio Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.13624/) (2022)
- [Amortized Probabilistic Conditioning for Optimization, Simulation and Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.15320/) (2024)
- [sbi reloaded: a toolkit for simulation-based inference workflows](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.17337/) (2024)
- [Consistency Models for Scalable and Fast Simulation-Based Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.05440/) (2023)
- [Sensitivity-Aware Amortized Bayesian Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.11122/) (2023)
- [L-C2ST: Local Diagnostics for Posterior Approximations in Simulation-Based Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.03580/) (2023)
- [Likelihood-Free Inference with Generative Neural Networks via Scoring Rule Minimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.15784/) (2022)
- [Leveraging Self-Consistency for Data-Efficient Amortized Bayesian Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.04395/) (2023)
- [Amortized Bayesian Multilevel Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.13230/) (2024)
- [Black-box Bayesian inference for economic agent-based models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.00625/) (2022)
- [A Deep Learning Method for Comparing Bayesian Hierarchical Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.11873/) (2023)
- [Likelihood-Free Frequentist Inference: Bridging Classical Statistics and Machine Learning for Reliable Simulator-Based Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.03920/) (2021)
- [Calibrating Neural Simulation-Based Inference with Differentiable Coverage Probability](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.13402/) (2023)
- [Diffusion Models in Simulation-Based Inference: A Tutorial Review](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.20685/) (2025)
- [Towards Instance-Wise Calibration: Local Amortized Diagnostics and Reshaping of Conditional Densities (LADaR)](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.14568/) (2022)
- [Balancing Simulation-based Inference for Conservative Posteriors](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.10978/) (2023)
- [Compositional simulation-based inference for time series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.02728/) (2024)
- [Multifidelity Simulation-based Inference for Computationally Expensive Simulators](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.08416/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Verifying the correctness of Bayesian computation is challenging. This is especially true for complex models that are common in practice, as these require sophisticated model implementations and algorithms. In this paper we introduce simulation-based calibration (SBC), a general procedure for validating inferences from Bayesian algorithms capable of generating posterior samples. This procedure not only identifies inaccurate computation and inconsistencies in model implementations but also provides graphical summaries that can indicate the nature of the problems that arise. We argue that SBC is a critical part of a robust Bayesian workflow, as well as being a useful tool for those developing computational algorithms and statistical software.
