# Online Learning: Sufficient Statistics and the Burkholder Method

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/1803.07617 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.07617/

## Key facts

- Cited by 14 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 20 Mar 2018.

## Built on by (most cited first, 14 of 14)

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- [PDE-Based Optimal Strategy for Unconstrained Online Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.07877/) (2022)
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- [Unconstrained Dynamic Regret via Sparse Coding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.13349/) (2023)
- [Optimal Comparator Adaptive Online Learning with Switching Cost](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.06846/) (2022)
- [An Equivalence Between Static and Dynamic Regret Minimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.01577/) (2024)
- [Implicit Parameter-free Online Learning with Truncated Linear Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.10327/) (2022)
- [Computing Optimal Regularizers for Online Linear Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.17336/) (2024)
- [Instance-Optimal Matrix Multiplicative Weight Update and Its Quantum Applications](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.08911/) (2025)
- [Self-Normalized Martingales and Uniform Regret Bounds for Linear Regression](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.01628/) (2026)
- [Operationalizing Stein's Method for Online Linear Optimization: CLT-Based Optimal Tradeoffs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.06545/) (2026)
- [Online Algorithms via Minimax and Posterior Matching](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.01616/) (2026)
- [Prediction Is Not a Sufficient Memory State](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.13881/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

We uncover a fairly general principle in online learning: If regret can be (approximately) expressed as a function of certain "sufficient statistics" for the data sequence, then there exists a special Burkholder function that 1) can be used algorithmically to achieve the regret bound and 2) only depends on these sufficient statistics, not the entire data sequence, so that the online strategy is only required to keep the sufficient statistics in memory. This characterization is achieved by bringing the full power of the Burkholder Method --- originally developed for certifying probabilistic martingale inequalities --- to bear on the online learning setting. To demonstrate the scope and effectiveness of the Burkholder method, we develop a novel online strategy for matrix prediction that attains a regret bound corresponding to the variance term in matrix concentration inequalities. We also present a linear-time/space prediction strategy for parameter free supervised learning with linear classes and general smooth norms.
