# Exploring the predictability of range-based volatility estimators using RNNs

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/1803.07152 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.07152/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 19 Mar 2018.

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [DNN-ForwardTesting: A New Trading Strategy Validation using Statistical Timeseries Analysis and Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.11532/) (2022)

## Abstract (arXiv)

We investigate the predictability of several range-based stock volatility estimators, and compare them to the standard close-to-close estimator which is most commonly acknowledged as the volatility. The patterns of volatility changes are analyzed using LSTM recurrent neural networks, which are a state of the art method of sequence learning. We implement the analysis on all current constituents of the Dow Jones Industrial Average index, and report averaged evaluation results. We find that changes in the values of range-based estimators are more predictable than that of the estimator using daily closing values only.
