# Future Frame Prediction for Anomaly Detection -- A New Baseline

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/1712.09867 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/1712.09867/

## Key facts

- Cited by 391 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 28 Dec 2017.

## Built on by (most cited first, 30 of 391)

- [Ego4D: Around the World in 3,000 Hours of Egocentric Video](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.07058/) (2021)
- [Generalized Out-of-Distribution Detection: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.11334/) (2021)
- [Towards Total Recall in Industrial Anomaly Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.08265/) (2021)
- [DRAEM -- A discriminatively trained reconstruction embedding for surface anomaly detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.07610/) (2021)
- [Anomaly Detection via Reverse Distillation from One-Class Embedding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.10703/) (2022)
- [Weakly-supervised Video Anomaly Detection with Robust Temporal Feature Magnitude Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2101.10030/) (2021)
- [A Survey on Video Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.10647/) (2023)
- [Anticipative Video Transformer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.02036/) (2021)
- [MIST: Multiple Instance Self-Training Framework for Video Anomaly Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.01633/) (2021)
- [A Hybrid Video Anomaly Detection Framework via Memory-Augmented Flow Reconstruction and Flow-Guided Frame Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.06852/) (2021)
- [VadCLIP: Adapting Vision-Language Models for Weakly Supervised Video Anomaly Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.11681/) (2023)
- [Self-Supervised Predictive Convolutional Attentive Block for Anomaly Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.09099/) (2021)
- [Generative Cooperative Learning for Unsupervised Video Anomaly Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.03962/) (2022)
- [UBnormal: New Benchmark for Supervised Open-Set Video Anomaly Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.08644/) (2021)
- [Dual Memory Units with Uncertainty Regulation for Weakly Supervised Video Anomaly Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.05160/) (2023)
- [Learning Normal Dynamics in Videos with Meta Prototype Network](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.06689/) (2021)
- [Unknown-Aware Object Detection: Learning What You Don't Know from Videos in the Wild](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.03800/) (2022)
- [Holmes-VAU: Towards Long-term Video Anomaly Understanding at Any Granularity](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.06171/) (2024)
- [CLIP-TSA: CLIP-Assisted Temporal Self-Attention for Weakly-Supervised Video Anomaly Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.05136/) (2022)
- [Unbiased Multiple Instance Learning for Weakly Supervised Video Anomaly Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.12369/) (2023)
- [Holmes-VAD: Towards Unbiased and Explainable Video Anomaly Detection via Multi-modal LLM](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.12235/) (2024)
- [Video Anomaly Detection by Solving Decoupled Spatio-Temporal Jigsaw Puzzles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.10172/) (2022)
- [Normalizing Flows for Human Pose Anomaly Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.10946/) (2022)
- [Generalized Video Anomaly Event Detection: Systematic Taxonomy and Comparison of Deep Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.05087/) (2023)
- [Open-Vocabulary Video Anomaly Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.07042/) (2023)
- [Follow the Rules: Reasoning for Video Anomaly Detection with Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.10299/) (2024)
- [Prototypical Residual Networks for Anomaly Detection and Localization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.02031/) (2022)
- [Anomaly Detection with Conditioned Denoising Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.15956/) (2023)
- [Video Event Restoration Based on Keyframes for Video Anomaly Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.05112/) (2023)
- [TRiPOD: Human Trajectory and Pose Dynamics Forecasting in the Wild](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.04029/) (2021)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Anomaly detection in videos refers to the identification of events that do not conform to expected behavior. However, almost all existing methods tackle the problem by minimizing the reconstruction errors of training data, which cannot guarantee a larger reconstruction error for an abnormal event. In this paper, we propose to tackle the anomaly detection problem within a video prediction framework. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work that leverages the difference between a predicted future frame and its ground truth to detect an abnormal event. To predict a future frame with higher quality for normal events, other than the commonly used appearance (spatial) constraints on intensity and gradient, we also introduce a motion (temporal) constraint in video prediction by enforcing the optical flow between predicted frames and ground truth frames to be consistent, and this is the first work that introduces a temporal constraint into the video prediction task. Such spatial and motion constraints facilitate the future frame prediction for normal events, and consequently facilitate to identify those abnormal events that do not conform the expectation. Extensive experiments on both a toy dataset and some publicly available datasets validate the effectiveness of our method in terms of robustness to the uncertainty in normal events and the sensitivity to abnormal events.