# Locally stationary spatio-temporal interpolation of Argo profiling float data

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/1711.00460 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/1711.00460/

## Key facts

- Cited by 4 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 1 Nov 2017.

## Built on by (most cited first, 4 of 4)

- [Neural Bayes Estimators for Irregular Spatial Data using Graph Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.02600/) (2023)
- [Neural Likelihood Surfaces for Spatial Processes with Computationally Intensive or Intractable Likelihoods](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.04634/) (2023)
- [Physics-Informed Statistical Modeling for Wildfire Aerosols Process Using Multi-Source Geostationary Satellite Remote-Sensing Data Streams](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.11766/) (2022)
- [Permutation-preserving Functions and Neural Vecchia Covariance Kernels](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.05523/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Argo floats measure seawater temperature and salinity in the upper 2,000 m of the global ocean. Statistical analysis of the resulting spatio-temporal dataset is challenging due to its nonstationary structure and large size. We propose mapping these data using locally stationary Gaussian process regression where covariance parameter estimation and spatio-temporal prediction are carried out in a moving-window fashion. This yields computationally tractable nonstationary anomaly fields without the need to explicitly model the nonstationary covariance structure. We also investigate Student-t distributed fine-scale variation as a means to account for non-Gaussian heavy tails in ocean temperature data. Cross-validation studies comparing the proposed approach with the existing state-of-the-art demonstrate clear improvements in point predictions and show that accounting for the nonstationarity and non-Gaussianity is crucial for obtaining well-calibrated uncertainties. This approach also provides data-driven local estimates of the spatial and temporal dependence scales for the global ocean which are of scientific interest in their own right.
