# Probabilistic Numerical Methods for PDE-constrained Bayesian Inverse Problems

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/1701.04006 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/1701.04006/

## Key facts

- Cited by 20 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 15 Jan 2017.

## Built on by (most cited first, 20 of 20)

- [Solving and Learning Nonlinear PDEs with Gaussian Processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.12959/) (2021)
- [Physics-Informed Gaussian Process Regression Generalizes Linear PDE Solvers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.12474/) (2022)
- [Error Analysis of Kernel/GP Methods for Nonlinear and Parametric PDEs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.04962/) (2023)
- [Gaussian Process Priors for Systems of Linear Partial Differential Equations with Constant Coefficients](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.14319/) (2022)
- [Solving High Frequency and Multi-Scale PDEs with Gaussian Processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.04465/) (2023)
- [Probabilistic Numerical Method of Lines for Time-Dependent Partial Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.11847/) (2021)
- [Gaussian processes for Bayesian inverse problems associated with linear partial differential equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.08343/) (2023)
- [Physics-Informed Variational State-Space Gaussian Processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.13876/) (2024)
- [Data-Efficient Kernel Methods for Learning Differential Equations and Their Solution Operators: Algorithms and Error Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.01036/) (2025)
- [Introduction To Gaussian Process Regression In Bayesian Inverse Problems, With New ResultsOn Experimental Design For Weighted Error Measures](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.04518/) (2023)
- [Parameter Inference based on Gaussian Processes Informed by Nonlinear Partial Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.11880/) (2022)
- [Gaussian Measures Conditioned on Nonlinear Observations: Consistency, MAP Estimators, and Simulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.13149/) (2024)
- [Scaling up Probabilistic PDE Simulators with Structured Volumetric Information](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.05020/) (2024)
- [Flexible and Efficient Probabilistic PDE Solvers through Gaussian Markov Random Fields](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.08343/) (2025)
- [Black Box Probabilistic Numerics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.13718/) (2021)
- [Are Statistical Methods Obsolete in the Era of Deep Learning? A Study of ODE Inverse Problems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.21723/) (2025)
- [Scalable h-adaptive probabilistic solver for time-independent and time-dependent systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.09623/) (2025)
- [Bayesian Nonlinear PDE Inference via Gaussian Process Collocation with Application to the Richards Equation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.23550/) (2025)
- [Operator-Informed Gaussian Processes for Complex Helmholtz Wavefields: From Synthetic Benchmarks to In Vivo Brain Elastography](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.14193/) (2026)
- [Constrained Probabilistic Numerics: Gaussian Process Solvers for Linear PDEs under Linear Inequality Constraints](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.13804/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

This paper develops meshless methods for probabilistically describing discretisation error in the numerical solution of partial differential equations. This construction enables the solution of Bayesian inverse problems while accounting for the impact of the discretisation of the forward problem. In particular, this drives statistical inferences to be more conservative in the presence of significant solver error. Theoretical results are presented describing rates of convergence for the posteriors in both the forward and inverse problems. This method is tested on a challenging inverse problem with a nonlinear forward model.
