# Change-point detection in panel data via double CUSUM statistic

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/1611.08631 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/1611.08631/

## Key facts

- Cited by 5 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 25 Nov 2016.

## Built on by (most cited first, 5 of 5)

- [Valid and Exact Statistical Inference for Multi-dimensional Multiple Change-Points by Selective Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.08989/) (2021)
- [Segmentation of high dimensional means over multi-dimensional change points and connections to regression trees](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.10017/) (2021)
- [Online Heavy-tailed Change-point detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.09548/) (2023)
- [Neural Network-Based Change Point Detection for Large-Scale Time-Evolving Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.09541/) (2025)
- [IMPACT-VLA: Interaction-aware Multimodal Propagation Attribution via Counterfactual Trajectories for Vision-Language-Action Policies](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.15005/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

In this paper, we consider the problem of (multiple) change-point detection in panel data. We propose the double CUSUM statistic which utilises the cross-sectional change-point structure by examining the cumulative sums of ordered CUSUMs at each point. The efficiency of the proposed change-point test is studied, which is reflected on the rate at which the cross-sectional size of a change is permitted to converge to zero while it is still detectable. Also, the consistency of the proposed change-point detection procedure based on the binary segmentation algorithm, is established in terms of both the total number and locations (in time) of the estimated change-points. Motivated by the representation properties of the Generalised Dynamic Factor Model, we propose a bootstrap procedure for test criterion selection, which accounts for both cross-sectional and within-series correlations in high-dimensional data. The empirical performance of the double CUSUM statistics, equipped with the proposed bootstrap scheme, is investigated in a comparative simulation study with the state-of-the-art. As an application, we analyse the log returns of S&P 100 component stock prices over a period of one year.
