# Changepoint Detection in the Presence of Outliers

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/1609.07363 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/1609.07363/

## Key facts

- Cited by 9 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 23 Sep 2016.

## Built on by (most cited first, 9 of 9)

- [WATCH: Wasserstein Change Point Detection for High-Dimensional Time Series Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.07125/) (2022)
- [Fast Online Changepoint Detection via Functional Pruning CUSUM statistics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.08205/) (2021)
- [MOSPAT: AutoML based Model Selection and Parameter Tuning for Time Series Anomaly Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.11755/) (2022)
- [A unifying framework for generalised Bayesian online learning in non-stationary environments](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.10153/) (2024)
- [An Automated Machine Learning Approach for Detecting Anomalous Peak Patterns in Time Series Data from a Research Watershed in the Northeastern United States Critical Zone](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.07992/) (2023)
- [Situationally-Aware Dynamics Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.19574/) (2025)
- [DMS, AE, DAA: methods and applications of adaptive time series model selection, ensemble, and financial evaluation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.11156/) (2021)
- [ARC: Augmented-Rank Conformalization for Changepoint Localization --- Finite-Sample Validity and Distribution-Robust Efficiency](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.08424/) (2026)
- [Beyond Sub-Gaussian Detector Scores: Robust Weighted Profile-Loss Change Point Detection for Human-LLM Text Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.36888/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Many traditional methods for identifying changepoints can struggle in the presence of outliers, or when the noise is heavy-tailed. Often they will infer additional changepoints in order to fit the outliers. To overcome this problem, data often needs to be pre-processed to remove outliers, though this is difficult for applications where the data needs to be analysed online. We present an approach to changepoint detection that is robust to the presence of outliers. The idea is to adapt existing penalised cost approaches for detecting changes so that they use loss functions that are less sensitive to outliers. We argue that loss functions that are bounded, such as the classical biweight loss, are particularly suitable -- as we show that only bounded loss functions are robust to arbitrarily extreme outliers. We present an efficient dynamic programming algorithm that can find the optimal segmentation under our penalised cost criteria. Importantly, this algorithm can be used in settings where the data needs to be analysed online. We show that we can consistently estimate the number of changepoints, and accurately estimate their locations, using the biweight loss function. We demonstrate the usefulness of our approach for applications such as analysing well-log data, detecting copy number variation, and detecting tampering of wireless devices.
