# Coin Betting and Parameter-Free Online Learning

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/1602.04128 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/1602.04128/

## Key facts

- Cited by 133 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 12 Feb 2016.

## Built on by (most cited first, 30 of 133)

- [DoG is SGD's Best Friend: A Parameter-Free Dynamic Step Size Schedule](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.12022/) (2023)
- [Improved Online Conformal Prediction via Strongly Adaptive Online Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.07869/) (2023)
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- [Tight Concentrations and Confidence Sequences from the Regret of Universal Portfolio](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.14099/) (2021)
- [Optimal Linear Decay Learning Rate Schedules and Further Refinements](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.07831/) (2023)
- [DoWG Unleashed: An Efficient Universal Parameter-Free Gradient Descent Method](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.16284/) (2023)
- [SGD with AdaGrad Stepsizes: Full Adaptivity with High Probability to Unknown Parameters, Unbounded Gradients and Affine Variance](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.08783/) (2023)
- [Parameter-Agnostic Optimization under Relaxed Smoothness](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.03252/) (2023)
- [Parameter-free Regret in High Probability with Heavy Tails](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.14355/) (2022)
- [Parameter-free Stochastic Optimization of Variationally Coherent Functions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.00236/) (2021)
- [PDE-Based Optimal Strategy for Unconstrained Online Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.07877/) (2022)
- [Learning Predictions for Algorithms with Predictions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.09312/) (2022)
- [Revisiting Simple Regret: Fast Rates for Returning a Good Arm](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.16913/) (2022)
- [Auditing Fairness by Betting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.17570/) (2023)
- [Unconstrained Online Learning with Unbounded Losses](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.04923/) (2023)
- [Protected Test-Time Adaptation via Online Entropy Matching: A Betting Approach](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.07511/) (2024)
- [Stochastic Nonsmooth Convex Optimization with Heavy-Tailed Noises: High-Probability Bound, In-Expectation Rate and Initial Distance Adaptation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.12277/) (2023)
- [Mechanic: A Learning Rate Tuner](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.00144/) (2023)
- [Normalized Gradients for All](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.05621/) (2023)
- [Adaptive Best-of-Both-Worlds Algorithm for Heavy-Tailed Multi-Armed Bandits](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.11921/) (2022)
- [A simple uniformly optimal method without line search for convex optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.10082/) (2023)
- [Fast TRAC: A Parameter-Free Optimizer for Lifelong Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.16642/) (2024)
- [Off-policy Confidence Sequences](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.09540/) (2021)
- [Learning-to-learn non-convex piecewise-Lipschitz functions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.08770/) (2021)
- [Adversarial Tracking Control via Strongly Adaptive Online Learning with Memory](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.01623/) (2021)
- [Pareto Optimal Model Selection in Linear Bandits](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.06593/) (2021)
- [Online-to-PAC Conversions: Generalization Bounds via Regret Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.19674/) (2023)
- [On the Convergence of Adam under Non-uniform Smoothness: Separability from SGDM and Beyond](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.15146/) (2024)
- [Tighter PAC-Bayes Bounds Through Coin-Betting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.05829/) (2023)
- [Tuning-Free Stochastic Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.07793/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

In the recent years, a number of parameter-free algorithms have been developed for online linear optimization over Hilbert spaces and for learning with expert advice. These algorithms achieve optimal regret bounds that depend on the unknown competitors, without having to tune the learning rates with oracle choices. We present a new intuitive framework to design parameter-free algorithms for both online linear optimization over Hilbert spaces and for learning with expert advice, based on reductions to betting on outcomes of adversarial coins. We instantiate it using a betting algorithm based on the Krichevsky-Trofimov estimator. The resulting algorithms are simple, with no parameters to be tuned, and they improve or match previous results in terms of regret guarantee and per-round complexity.
