# Achieving the Dispatchability of Distribution Feeders through Prosumers Data Driven Forecasting and Model Predictive Control of Electrochemical Storage

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/1602.02265 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/1602.02265/

## Key facts

- Cited by 4 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 6 Feb 2016.

## Built on by (most cited first, 4 of 4)

- [Review of Low Voltage Load Forecasting: Methods, Applications, and Recommendations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.00006/) (2021)
- [Innovations Autoencoder and its Application in One-class Anomalous Sequence Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.12382/) (2021)
- [Decision-Focused Fine-Tuning of Time Series Foundation Models for Dispatchable Feeder Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.01936/) (2025)
- [Novelty Detection in Time Series via Weak Innovations Representation: A Deep Learning Approach](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.13358/) (2022)

## Abstract (arXiv)

We propose and experimentally validate a control strategy to dispatch the operation of a distribution feeder interfacing heterogeneous prosumers by using a grid-connected battery energy storage system (BESS) as a controllable element coupled with a minimally invasive monitoring infrastructure. It consists in a two-stage procedure: day-ahead dispatch planning, where the feeder 5-minute average power consumption trajectory for the next day of operation (called dispatch plan) is determined, and intra-day/real-time operation, where the mismatch with respect to the dispatch plan is corrected by applying receding horizon model predictive control (MPC) to decide the BESS charging/discharging profile while accounting for operational constraints. The consumption forecast necessary to compute the dispatch plan and the battery model for the MPC algorithm are built by applying adaptive data driven methodologies. The discussed control framework currently operates on a daily basis to dispatch the operation of a 20~kV feeder of the EPFL university campus using a 750~kW/500~kWh lithium titanate BESS.